12-month probability-weighted rental revenue forecast
Every project in the pipeline is projected forward from its estimated start date: daily rental rate × expected on-rent days × probability of capture. The board replaces the Revenue Projection template and the historical tracker with one live view you can filter for shareholder updates — and every figure recalculates when you change a filter.
Weighted vs. unweighted revenue by month
Bars = probability-weighted forecast · line = unweighted pipeline · shaded base = contracted backlog (100% probability)
What this board answers
Three questions from the June 2024 conversation, answered from the current filter
Project timeline ribbon — start date × daily rate × probability
Each bar is one project: horizontal span = estimated start to end, bar height = daily package rate, shade = probability of capture. Hover a bar for the weighted revenue it contributes.
Weighted revenue by basin
Within the selected horizon
Pipeline by probability band
Unweighted value → weighted value, per band
Backlog vs. forecast
How much of the horizon is already contracted
Fleet utilisation grid — expected units on rent, by unit class and month
Illustrative 24-unit fleet: 6 Helix™ control systems · 8 Titan 5 RCDs · 6 Hydra-Balance choke manifolds · 4 Coriolis flow-meter skids. Cell = probability-weighted units on rent ÷ units in class.
Ask the data
Natural-language layer over the same model — a mock of the question Nathan raised in the original call
